Monday, July 21, 2014

What happened to flight MH17 over Ukraine and why?

Background
Malaysian Airlines flight MH17 was going to fly from Nederland to Malaysia and possibly from there to Australia. Flight plan was reasonably normal: some companies, such as British Airways and Air France had stopped using it, but Singapore Airlines was flying one minute and 40 seconds behind this flight.

Who shot the plane down?
There is ample evidence that it was East Ukraine rebels/separatists that did it. There are plenty of conflicting rumors to other parties, but those are not even worth of disputing here.

Where did separatists get their weapons?
This is the most critical question of all.
What happened was that Putin decided to arm separatists with better weaponry and this scheme took a few months or at least over one month to play:
1) Russian media told to the world that separatists had stolen this weaponry from Ukraine army. They have it so this is possible to happen. Ukraine government denies this.
2) Russia delivers those weapons to separatists about a week before they used it.
3) Russian air control closes four flight routes over East Ukraine a few hours before the shooting.
4) Either separatists or Russian military was those that did the actual shooting from East Ukraine.

Did separatists get any training from Russia for shooting down airplanes?
Yes, read the article from ABCNews.

So this whole thing was masterminded by Putin?
Yes. Who else controls Russian media, Russia weapons, Russian army and Russian air control?

Did they want to shoot down commercial flight or military plane?
Military plane.

The Russian organization masterminding this shooting apparently have not practiced this as they did many things badly:
- They left the timing extremely tight. Russian air control shut down routes over East Ukraine from their side only a few hours before the shooting.
- This caused MH17 to alter their flight plan to a place where commercial planes do not fly normally, so the militants didn't expect commercial planes in that place.
- No one from the organization either knew about a system to follow commercial planes, or they didn't want any traces that they had been active on that site. Either way militants didn't follow the site to know that commercial planes are there now and more than just this one.

Did Ukraine do something wrong?
Most likely yes, their intelligence knew something was going on. How much they knew and how much in advance is unknown, but the Ukraine air control did two changes requiring flight to raise over 10 kilometers. Apparently this was a communications gap and the people making decision thought that separatists had weapons only up to 6 kilometers, not to 15 kilometers the way they did have. So it was a mistake, but in my book an honest mistake.

Did CIA do something wrong?
Most likely yes, it seems that they informed close allies: Britain & France to watch out, but didn't make public announcements. Probably to protect their sources or from letting Russia and separatists to know how much they know.

Why Malaysian Airlines?
No reason, except that Malaysia is not close Russia or USA ally.

Why did the plane fly over 200 km too South from the original route (L980)?
Because they were flying on channel L980, but Russian air control closed that route, or their part of it A87, so the plane had to divert from the original plan.

Did the Singapore Airlines (SQ351) fly on the original route or on the modified MH17 route?
It appears on the modified route, but I am not sure. The source, Swedish newspaper Sydsvenkan, said it was flying 25 kilometers behind the Malaysian plane, which makes one minute and 40 seconds. Btw it was a joined flight with SAS (SAS is a Nordic company, and especially because of this Sydsvenkan is reputable source on this) and Virgin Australia and Boeing 777 with 285 seats. Other source: Expressen, another Swedish magazine.

Why did the separatist leader say that people on Malaysian Airlines were dead already?
This is common practice in Russia: there is a saying that if you want to lie, you better lie more outrageously as people believe outrageous lies easier. Naturally this was a lie still.

Who is leading these Ukraine militants?
Igor Girkin (Strelkov): "FSB until March 2013, and according to Ukrainian and EU authorities, he is a retired Russian military intelligence GRU colonel who has previously participated in the 2014 Crimea crisis."
Igor Vsevolodovich Girkin (Russian: Игорь Всеволодович Гиркин), also known as Igor Ivanovich Strelkov (Russian: Игорь Иванович Стрелков), born on 17 December 1970,[1] is a Russian citizen from Moscow[2] who commands the Donbass People's Militia paramilitary group and is a key figure behind the 2014 pro-Russian conflict in Ukraine.
According to Russian papers, he is fighting against fascists in Ukraine, but he is fascist himself: "during the 1990s, Girkin wrote for the right-wing Russian newspaper Zavtra, which is run by the Russian nationalist Alexander Prokhanov" and where Borodai was an editor.[16]". So naturally that is just a bad cover story that doesn't sit well on him.
So when Putin says that he has no control over the militants, remember that his hired man is at least officially the top #1 among the Ukraine militants.

But Putin wants ETYJ to find out who is responsible
Yes, Putin should get an honorary master's degree on western media manipulation as he plays them so well. And here his tactics are to appear to support this while he does everything to hinder the actual process.

What is the status of investigations?
As of July 21, the status is that European organization, ETYJ is leading the investigations. Also Malaysian and Netherlands authorities are involved. Clearly Malaysian and Netherlands authorities are the most neutral on this topic, and therefore militants were sure to give airplane black boxes to them.
Ukraine government has taken corpses and they plan to send them to Netherlands as the plane left from Netherlands. Largest group dying in the accident was of Netherlands nationality.
Militants have declared crashing site as safe area.

Sunday, July 13, 2014

Testing Garcinia Cambogia - does it help to get thinner?

Testing Garcinia Cambogia

Why: My weight is reasonably good. My weight index is 84.5kg/1.78m/1.78m = 27. The normal weight maximum is 25, so I am only very slightly in the overweight category. But my wife wants me to decrease it. I have tried that for several years and succeeded only for a short duration. So let's see if this "miracle" diet product helps on me.

Product: Garcinia Cambogia Select
This product has three ingredients: Garcinia Cambogia, Calcium and Potassium. Two of the latter help body to digest the main ingredient.
One capsule has 500mg of the extract, making it (overly conveniently) 250mg of the core ingredient: Hydroxycitric Acid (HCA).
Recommendations: Not for children under 18 years or pregnant or nursing mothers.

Current status: It looks like this is total fake/cheat/fraud product that does absolutely nothing. If I were you, I would not look for any further but would scrap this idea for good.

Shop I used: Garcinia Cambogia Select. Make sure you go to .net and .com. The latter works only as a virus sender... I bought six bottles for US$ 120, so that made120$ / (6 bottles * 90 pills/bottle * 250mg) = 89 cents / gram or $20/month. Package arrived eight days later here to Finland. Best before date on them was Feb 03, 2017 so I have 2½ years to eat ½ year of pills, so I could have ordered even more in one order.

Weight history: My weight has stayed relatively stable for the last 15 years, so I am quite perfect specimen for the experiment.

Pills usage: Recommendation is to eat three pills a day, half an hour before each meal with a glass of water. The reality with me is that most of the time I take the pill with Pepsi Max, but that is quite close to water so it should be fine. I will hardly eat three times a day, but I will eat it at least one time every day as I eat some other pills at the same time. Most of the time I won't eat before meal but after a meal: on breakfast I eat it with my other pills after the breakfast and typically I remember to eat this on other times either after a meal or at any random time. So due to not eating three times always and for not eating them at right time, maybe the effect will be 50 - 80% instead of 100%. But that is not the main point: main point is to let you know if it really helps or not.

Diet: For the last two years I have been in "flexible" GI+ diet. I eat healthy and my calorie intake and quality of them is good. The reason why I am not as thin as I want is that I eat sweets, ice cream and about anything before and during night. Before GI+ diet, I was on low fat "diet" for over 10 years. But don't take the word diet seriously: it is just that I avoid some foods. My greatest success with any diet is that I avoid potatoes: I eat them about 100g / month. Next success is with bad quality bread: I eat typically one or two hamburgers / week.

Sports: Summer was record cold on June, but now it is July in Finland, so that means my bicycling season has started "seriously" recently. If I manage to do sports well, I may loose up to two kilos during this heavier exercise period. As my experiment will take on minimum half a year, that gain will be lost easily in that time though. But it may show up as better than normal start on the test results.

Weight changes:
I have checked my starting weight on three scales and it was: 84.5, 84.5 and 84.3. My weight can vary half a kilo during a day. If you want to get exact results, then check it always on morning. But I'll check it always on evening, because that is when I write the blog.
Starting date: July 13, 2014 and weight with my electronic scale was 84.5 kg.
DateWeight (kg)Change (kg)
July 1384.5NA
July 1684.50
July 2684.6+0.1
Aug 2286.7+2.2